Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 7
Here are the plays for Week 7. These should be the final numbers for the week, as almost all the predictions are in.
A note from the guy who compiles the predictions:
"I am adding several systems to the predictions this week in both NCAA and NFL. At this point in the season this is likely going to make the estimate of the average a little shakey and the standard deviation a little large. It's always a judgment call about when to start including systems that are based completely on the current season because it takes a while for them to become zoned in. "
This week's numbers are based on 37 prediction services - the most I have used this season. We'll see how well the numbers react to more predictions. It may end up throwing the (**) plays off a bit. Of course, a better way to run the numbers would be to have a weighted system based on the most reliable prediction services, but I really don't have the time for all that crap
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Favors Line AvgPred Delta StdDev Play
South Carolina -7.50 -14.65 7.15 6.24 ** +
Minnesota 0.00 -6.16 6.16 6.09 ** +
Rutgers 18.00 7.21 10.79 12.10 **
Northwestern -3.50 -8.45 4.95 7.25 *
Oklahoma State 2.50 -2.96 5.46 6.88 *
Syracuse 18.00 14.99 3.01 4.68 *
Northern Ill -17.00 -22.87 5.87 5.91 **
Purdue -13.00 -16.08 3.08 4.28 *
Michigan State -3.50 -14.21 10.71 10.72 **
Navy 5.00 -4.49 9.49 8.42 ** +
Nebraska -7.00 -12.51 5.51 6.02 *
Arkansas -6.00 -13.96 7.96 9.63 **
Memphis 5.00 -0.11 5.11 6.68 *
Kansas 6.50 -2.07 8.57 9.84 **
UNLV 7.00 3.16 3.84 4.61 *
Kent 20.00 14.49 5.51 7.88 *
Baylor 20.50 13.90 6.60 6.05 ** +
Iowa State 16.00 13.11 2.89 5.98 *
LSU -10.00 -17.67 7.67 7.45 ** +
Tulsa 23.50 15.15 8.35 7.83 ** +
Ohio State -2.50 -8.26 5.76 4.65 * +
Oregon -2.00 -5.40 3.40 5.48 *
Stanford 21.50 17.05 4.45 6.77 *
Connecticut 16.00 10.88 5.12 4.48 * +
North Texas -7.00 -11.05 4.05 6.18 *
UL-Lafayette -4.00 -9.25 5.25 6.31 *
Season W L T %
*** 2 0 0 1.000
** 20 13 1 0.606
* 47 45 1 0.511
+ 20 9 0 0.690
Here are the plays for Week 7. These should be the final numbers for the week, as almost all the predictions are in.
A note from the guy who compiles the predictions:
"I am adding several systems to the predictions this week in both NCAA and NFL. At this point in the season this is likely going to make the estimate of the average a little shakey and the standard deviation a little large. It's always a judgment call about when to start including systems that are based completely on the current season because it takes a while for them to become zoned in. "
This week's numbers are based on 37 prediction services - the most I have used this season. We'll see how well the numbers react to more predictions. It may end up throwing the (**) plays off a bit. Of course, a better way to run the numbers would be to have a weighted system based on the most reliable prediction services, but I really don't have the time for all that crap
code:--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Favors Line AvgPred Delta StdDev Play
South Carolina -7.50 -14.65 7.15 6.24 ** +
Minnesota 0.00 -6.16 6.16 6.09 ** +
Rutgers 18.00 7.21 10.79 12.10 **
Northwestern -3.50 -8.45 4.95 7.25 *
Oklahoma State 2.50 -2.96 5.46 6.88 *
Syracuse 18.00 14.99 3.01 4.68 *
Northern Ill -17.00 -22.87 5.87 5.91 **
Purdue -13.00 -16.08 3.08 4.28 *
Michigan State -3.50 -14.21 10.71 10.72 **
Navy 5.00 -4.49 9.49 8.42 ** +
Nebraska -7.00 -12.51 5.51 6.02 *
Arkansas -6.00 -13.96 7.96 9.63 **
Memphis 5.00 -0.11 5.11 6.68 *
Kansas 6.50 -2.07 8.57 9.84 **
UNLV 7.00 3.16 3.84 4.61 *
Kent 20.00 14.49 5.51 7.88 *
Baylor 20.50 13.90 6.60 6.05 ** +
Iowa State 16.00 13.11 2.89 5.98 *
LSU -10.00 -17.67 7.67 7.45 ** +
Tulsa 23.50 15.15 8.35 7.83 ** +
Ohio State -2.50 -8.26 5.76 4.65 * +
Oregon -2.00 -5.40 3.40 5.48 *
Stanford 21.50 17.05 4.45 6.77 *
Connecticut 16.00 10.88 5.12 4.48 * +
North Texas -7.00 -11.05 4.05 6.18 *
UL-Lafayette -4.00 -9.25 5.25 6.31 *
Season W L T %
*** 2 0 0 1.000
** 20 13 1 0.606
* 47 45 1 0.511
+ 20 9 0 0.690
